11/4/08

How many people have voted early?

I got a question on how may people have voted early yesterday. This from earlyvoting.net:

32 states allow no-excuse pre-Election Day in-person voting - either early voting on a voting machine or in-person absentee voting
14 states and the District of Columbia require an excuse for in-person absentee voting
1 state is all vote-by mail
4 states do not allow early or in-person absentee voting
28 states allow no-excuse absentee voting by mail
22 states and the District of Columbia require an excuse to vote absentee by mail


(The all-mail voting state is Oregon.)

In the news yesterday: 28.9 million people voted early this year.

From the Atlantic:

Historically, Republicans have had an advantage over Democrats in terms of absentee balloting; Democrats tend to outperform Republicans in terms of in-person early voting. These disparities are rooted in geography - it's easier to get people to vote in person in cities, and Democrats do well in cities, and it's easier to get people to vote by mail in more rural areas, and Republicans tend to do better in rural areas. Republicans tend to bank more absentee votes than Dems do early votes, in part because a key Democratic urban constituency: African Americans, have been suspicious of early voting.

27.7 million people voted early in 2004, 22.5% of the total. This year, 31.7 million people voted early. That would be 25% of the '04 total, but turnout will be higher this year. By the looks of that increase, the turnout of 123.5 million people in '04 will increase to 141.3 million this year. We'll see if that's correct; it would mean a turnout of 62% (the Voting Age Population of 2008 is 227.7 million).

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The Schedule

  • Aug. 11, 2007 Iowa Straw Poll
  • Jan. 3, Iowa Caucuses
  • Jan. 5, Wyoming (R)
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  • Jan. 15, Michigan
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  • Sep. 26, First debate at the University of Mississippi
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  • Oct. 15, Third Debate at Hofstra University in NY

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