Polls II

More on that USA Today story. Things look good for Hillary to win the primary, based on the poll we were talking about yesterday. Susan Page again:

Clinton, in contrast, is a classic Democrat. She does best among women, Democratic partisans, older voters, and less-educated and lower-income workers. She trumps Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, her top rival and an African-American, among blacks. That mix of support could help her win Democratic primaries, but she faces hurdles in the general election. She draws only 1 in 4 independents who "lean" Democratic, for example, and 1 in 4 white men in the Democratic sample.

The general election is an uphill battle. It's tough for Democrats to win the presidency in general, and Hillary would need to overcome a lot--being a woman and all the Clinton baggage. But it looks good for her in the nomination fight. Hillary's of course been up in recent polls (though we argued below that the national polls should be ignored at this point.) But even more so, she's such an experienced and disciplined campaigner that I have to think she'll beat Obama, who has always seemed too green to me. The glare from the lights on the national stage are so blinding, and one slip up can change things so much, I just wonder if Obama is up to the challenge.