Dems in three-way tie

Iowa polls show a dead heat between the three Democratic candidates. Here's the results:

Obama 32
Clinton 25
Edwards 24

6% were undecided, and the margin of error is 3.5% This means it is really a dead heat. Obama is not really leading according to this poll. Obama is strong with younger voters and first-time caucus-goers. This is bad--these are people who will fail to turn out in greater percentages than other groups.

Eugene Robinson has this on Hillary:

Clinton's theme for the day was "honoring families," and much of her 40-minute speech -- longer than usual -- was devoted to highlighting her initiatives on issues such as long-term care. But she didn't neglect her major theme -- experience -- and she got applause with her standard line about her two main rivals: "Some people think you make change by demanding it and some people think you make change by hoping for it. I think you make change by working really, really hard."

The Politico has this on Obama:

What is the same between February and now is Obama’s delivery. As Edwards takes an increasingly combative tone on the trail, Obama sounds as sunny as the day he announced, a self-described “hopemonger” dismissive of rivals who dismiss his optimism as “naiveté, passivity and wishful thinking.”

The structure is similar, too. He prefers a momentum-building narrative to quick-hit applause lines. Sometimes playful in his presentation, Obama’s style lately better resembles that of a preacher, bringing crowds to their feet with the refrain, “If you believe,” at the end of his speech.