10/24/07

The Huckabee problem

Check out this brilliant post on 2008central about Mike Huckabee. I agree with everything. Here's the essential section:

At the end of the day, the majority of people vote based on a simple idea of a candidate. For example, ‘Rudy Giuliani will protect us from terrorism and clean things up the way he cleaned up NYC’ or ‘Mitt Romney will make the government function like a business’ or ‘John McCain is trustworthy and knows foreign policy best’ or ‘Fred Thompson is lazy, but capable and that means he’ll protect me from terrorists and from intrusion of the Government but he’ll also leave me alone’ or ‘Ron Paul will finally remind Americans that the constitution is real, is the law of the land and should be adhered to’. I could go on, but I think my point is clear. After following this campaign very closely, I can boil all of these candidates down to a simple statement…an idea and come election time that’s what most voters do - they boil candidates down to a simple statement and pick based on the statement that is closest to them.

I can’t do this for Mike Huckabee…I mean, I could come up with a few…but not a single statement and that’s the problem. As he has in the beginning, Huckabee is left without a motto and without a solid constituency.

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The Schedule

  • Aug. 11, 2007 Iowa Straw Poll
  • Jan. 3, Iowa Caucuses
  • Jan. 5, Wyoming (R)
  • Jan. 8, New Hampshire
  • Jan. 15, Michigan
  • Jan. 19, Nevada, South Carolina (R)
  • Jan. 26, South Carolina (D)
  • Jan. 29, Florida
  • Feb. 1, Maine (R)
  • Feb. 5, SUPER DUPER TUESDAY, Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado (D), Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho (D), Illinois, Kansas (D), Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico (D), New York, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah, West Virginia (R)
  • Feb. 9, Kansas (R), Louisiana, Washington, Nebraska (D)
  • Feb. 10, Maine (D)
  • Feb. 12, DC (R), Maryland and Virginia
  • Feb. 19, Hawaii (D), Washington (R), Wisconsin
  • Mar. 4, Massachusetts, Ohio, Rhode Island, Texas, Vermont
  • Mar. 8, Wyoming (D)
  • Mar. 11, Mississippi
  • Mar. 18, Colorado (R)
  • Apr. 22, Pennsylvania
  • May 6, Indiana, North Carolina
  • May 13, Nebraska (R), West Virginia (D)
  • May 20, Kentucky, Oregon
  • May 27, Idaho (R)
  • Jun. 3, Montana, New Mexico (R), South Dakota
  • Aug. 25-28, Democratic National Convention in Denver, CO
  • Sept. 1-4, Republican National Convention in Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN
  • Sep. 26, First debate at the University of Mississippi
  • Oct. 2, VP Debate at Washington University in St. Louis
  • Oct. 7, Second Debate at Belmont University in Nashville
  • Oct. 15, Third Debate at Hofstra University in NY

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