In a previous post I spoke about the advantage Hillary has with a kind of "Clinton-fatigue-fatigue" amongst the media with regards to the scandals and drama of the Clinton years. It's just not as interesting to start dredging up old stuff on the Clinton's as it is to talk about the future, and this plays right into Hillary's hands.
There are two ways the scenario of Hillary getting somewhat of a free pass on her baggage could not come about. The campaign team can control the second. The first however is this: if somehow the scandals of the Clinton years gain traction in the media as a result of attacks of the other candidates and detailed poll results showing that it's a big deal for voters. But this is not very plausible.
The second is totally in the hands of the Clinton campaign, namely, there has to be some new scandal. The Clinton campaign's donor scandal right now is an example. The New York Times writes,
Already, Mrs. Clinton’s opponents were busy trying to rekindle remembrances of the 1996 Democratic fund-raising scandals, in which Asian moneymen were accused of funneling suspect donations into Democratic coffers as President Bill Clinton and Vice President Al Gore were running for re-election.
Also, it might happen that there would be a further personal scandal with Bill Clinton. This would raise questions about the "weirdness factor" of him being the first man (or "first laddie" as he says his Scottish friends suggest he be called if Hillary wins) and plodding around the White House with nothing but time on his hands. Bill is highly unlikely to have some kind of a verbal slip up on this score, so it would require some new personal scandal.
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The Schedule
- Aug. 11, 2007 Iowa Straw Poll
- Jan. 3, Iowa Caucuses
- Jan. 5, Wyoming (R)
- Jan. 8, New Hampshire
- Jan. 15, Michigan
- Jan. 19, Nevada, South Carolina (R)
- Jan. 26, South Carolina (D)
- Jan. 29, Florida
- Feb. 1, Maine (R)
- Feb. 5, SUPER DUPER TUESDAY, Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado (D), Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho (D), Illinois, Kansas (D), Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico (D), New York, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah, West Virginia (R)
- Feb. 9, Kansas (R), Louisiana, Washington, Nebraska (D)
- Feb. 10, Maine (D)
- Feb. 12, DC (R), Maryland and Virginia
- Feb. 19, Hawaii (D), Washington (R), Wisconsin
- Mar. 4, Massachusetts, Ohio, Rhode Island, Texas, Vermont
- Mar. 8, Wyoming (D)
- Mar. 11, Mississippi
- Mar. 18, Colorado (R)
- Apr. 22, Pennsylvania
- May 6, Indiana, North Carolina
- May 13, Nebraska (R), West Virginia (D)
- May 20, Kentucky, Oregon
- May 27, Idaho (R)
- Jun. 3, Montana, New Mexico (R), South Dakota
- Aug. 25-28, Democratic National Convention in Denver, CO
- Sept. 1-4, Republican National Convention in Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN
- Sep. 26, First debate at the University of Mississippi
- Oct. 2, VP Debate at Washington University in St. Louis
- Oct. 7, Second Debate at Belmont University in Nashville
- Oct. 15, Third Debate at Hofstra University in NY
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